A fair look at Dublin Opinion

Dublin Opinion Polls

Reality rather than fun.

Fun is when you want to fol yourself and others that you are doing better or worse than the measured reality.

Random samples of 300 in Dublin are +/- 5%

So looking at the poll

Red C Sunday Business Post

  • FF  16
  • FG 30
  • Lab 25
  • SF 14

Irish Times

  • FF 11
  • FG 25
  • Lab 32
  • SF 15
  • Ind 14

Sun Red C 3 Dec

  • FF 11
  • FG 25
  • Lab 34
  • SF 15
  • Ind 10

So the three together

  • FF 16,11,11. ( average 12.6  – range 7.6 to 17.6)
  • FG 30, 25,25 (average 26.6 range 21.6 to 31.6)
  • Labour 32,34,25 (average 30 range 25 to 35)
  • SF 14,15,15, (average 14.6 range 9.9 to 19.6)

So you cab interpret that to taste – it probably means that F and SF are in similar places as are Labour and FG. But if the polls are very volatile, the polls are not revelaing a lot more than that. The next set after the new year will reveal more about the true relative positions but the Red C Poll on 19th certainly lifted my spirits.